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The United States President Donald Trump was true to his threats.
Tuesday's Trump Administration Unleashed 25 percent faucets for a blanket Of Canadian imports excluding energy that was affected by 10 percent.
Trump also struck a 25 percent tariff for Mexico and doubled China's rates up to 20 percent.
Royal Bank of Canada economists Francis Donald and Cynthia Leach called this the largest commercial shock to Canada for nearly a hundred years.
Wines Najibula, Vice President of Research and Strategy in the Asia -Tihoetan Foundation in Canada, cited the tariffs as an “existential struggle” for Canada.
Whatever the impact, the economist agree that a Trade war Between the United States and Canada, they started.
Canada has announced 25 percent tariffs for $ 30 billion ($ 21 billion) imports of US revenge and said it will go to another $ 125 billion Canadian dollars ($ 87 billion) for 21 days if necessary.
Mexico promised to avenge, but gave up any action until Sunday.
China has declared tariff From 10 to 15 percent at certain US imports from March 10, he has also identified a series of new export restrictions for certain US entities.
He has also filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization in Tuesday.
Rachel Zeba, an adjunct sennect at the Center for New American Security, said the duration of the Tariff War remains “in the US Court of Justice.”
But even if the blanket tariffs are canceled, more faced tariffs are likely to continue and, in turn InflationWhich will hurt the economies of all participating countries, Zimba said.
“The economic impact will be significant from all countries, as prices and increase in inflation and businesses are struggling to plan not only among these tariffs but also with other tariffs ahead,” Zimba told Al Jazeera, citing Trump's promise to impose reciprocal tariffs to all countries that apply to the US.
“It's very difficult to say where this is directed,” said Bret House, a professor at Columbia Business School, in front of Al Jazeera.
“There will be more tariffs for more countries before we see a return,” House said, adding, “Trump's White House is moving capriciously and changing his mind” often.
House said that while negotiations were possible, said Trump had pointed out the reasons for slaps at the tariffs in Canada – to force him to stop the flow of undocumented migrants and fentanyl in the United States – based on “absolutely false” data and no migrants, weapons and drugs are actually permitted.
Last month, CBC News in Canada reported that new data from the Canada Border Service Agency (CBSA) shows that there has been an increasing influx of illegal drugs and weapons in the United States over the last few years. For example, the drug, for example, increased from 3.8 million grams (600 stones) to 8.3 million grams (1 307 stones) in 2024 – a larger amount of seized by their counterparts on the US side of the border.
“Deep shift”
So while everything is negotiable, Trump usually responds to either flattery or strength, House said, and Canada has already tried flattery.
“The Prime Minister's service is now rightly shifting to force,” House said.
In addition to the tariffs announced so far, Canada is also considering imposing tariffs on electricity exports to the United States.
More importantly, the situation puts into a sharp focus question that gathered steam in front of the threats from the closest ally of Ottawa: What is the future of A connection in Canada and the United States?
Some Canadian estimates suggest that Trump's tariffs can cost up to 1.5 million jobs and send the economy to a recession.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said on Tuesday that Trump plans to cause “the full collapse of the Canadian economy because this will facilitate annexation of us.”
“This is not just about tariffs. The most vigorous and deep change we are witnessing now is in the relations between Canada and the US, “Najibula, Vice President of Research and Strategy in the Asia -Tihocean Foundation of Canada, said, told Al Jazeera.
“This is an existential struggle and will require leadership from all provinces and all countries, because no one knows what it is tomorrow.”
Najibula said it was not clear whether the present tension would be limited to trade or bleeding in other areas such as foreign policy and defense and security agreements.
Even if there is a de -escalation between the two countries, she added: “Now there is a complete change in the paradigm” in how to look at the relationship between the US and its traditional allies.
“It is clear that we have to make our own national resilience … and we have to be more capable of trading and working with other people around the world,” she said. “This is a wake -up for Canada.”
But this is also awakening for Mexico, as some Canadian prime ministers have suggested Canada develop its own trade deal with the United States to replace the US and Mexico-Canada agreement.
“There is a power in the issue,” said House and “every bully's strategy as the President of the United States is to split and ensure that his colleagues are negotiating individually.”
House warned that Ottawa's relationship with Mexico could be damaged by suggestions that Canada leaves Mexico from a future commercial transaction that corresponds to Trump's strategy for dividing parties so that they do not negotiate from a solidarity position.
On Tuesday, US Secretary of Commerce Howard Luni told Fox Business that Trump would reach an average position with Canada and Mexico about tariffs and announcement is expected on Wednesday.
Whatever compromise is achieved, it will not completely repair the damage caused to the relationship between the North America trading partners, Zimba said, especially since other tariffs for specific sectors are expected along the way.
This was said: “The price of the trade war is a big and a truce is possible,” Zeba said.
Until then, as they say in Canada, when the battle is about to explode during an ice hockey, it's elbows up.
